Ekhuluma ochungechungeni lwe-Delta's 55th Anniversary Forum, ethi “Energy's New Frontier: From Buildings to AI”, uDkt. Lovins waphawula ukuthi ukwakheka okuhlanganisiwe akuyona ubuchwepheshe obusha, kodwa kuyindlela ehlukile yokucabanga. Ukwakheka kobunjiniyela bendabuko ngokuvamile kuqala ngokwenza ngcono izingxenye ngazinye ngaphambi kokuzihlanganisa. Nokho, ukwakheka okuhlanganisiwe kuguqula lokhu kuhleleka: kuqala ngohlelo lonke, kuchaze izinhloso ezifiselekayo, bese kuklama izingxenye ngazinye ukusekela imigomo. Yingxenye enganakwa kakhulu yoguquko lwamandla olunezingxenye ezine olushintsha ngokushesha umhlaba kusukela ekusetshenzisweni okungekuhle kuya ekusetshenzisweni okuphumelelayo, amafutha asetshenziswayo abe ngavuselelekayo, amafutha abe ugesi, futhi abekwe phakathi kwezinsiza ezisatshalaliswayo. Lokhu akudingi umlingo, izimangaliso, noma ubuchwepheshe obusha, kodwa ingqondo yabaqalayo nje, ukucabanga kohlelo lonke, ukwakheka okulula kakhulu, kanye nokunaka okucophelelayo emininingwaneni—bese ukuwenza kusebenze kudinga ukuncintisana, idiplomacy, kanye nesineke esingapheli.
UDkt. Lovins ukhombe ukuthi izakhiwo zisebenzisa izingxenye ezintathu kwezine zikagesi wase-US nengxenye yomhlaba. Uhlala endlini yethu eyakhelwe umnikazi engenaso isimiso sokushisa, engamamitha angu-2200 phezulu ezintabeni zaseRocky eduze kwase-Aspen, lapho amazinga okushisa ayevame ukwehla abe yi--44˚C. Le ndlu isize ekukhuthazeni izakhiwo zaseYurophu eziyizinkulungwane ezingamakhulu ezingenaso isimiso sokushisa kanye nezindleko zokwakha ezivamile. Ngokuklanywa okuhlanganisiwe—okuthuthukisa ukufudumala, ukwenza ngcono izinhlelo zokungenisa umoya, ukuklama kabusha ukukhanya—ukusetshenziswa kwamandla okwakha ngokuvamile kungancishiswa kakhulu.
Izimboni zisebenzisa ingxenye yamandla omhlaba wonke. Izinhlelo zamapayipi ezixhunywe kulawa madivayisi zivame ukwakheka kabi, okuholela ekulahlekelweni kokungqubuzana okungadingekile. Uma amapayipi amanzi ezimboni enziwa aba banzi futhi aqonde ukuze kuqedwe ukungqubuzana, akugcini nje ngokulondolozwa kukagesi ongu-90%, kodwa amaphampu amakhulu, abizayo angancishiswa, futhi amaphampu angadingeki angasuswa ngisho.
Izikhungo zedatha nazo zinamandla amakhulu okonga amandla. Ngo-2003, lapho izikhungo zedatha zisebenzisa okungenani amandla aphindwe kabili ukusekela amaseva kunalawo okuwasebenzisa, i-RMI yabiza ochwepheshe bemboni abangaphezulu kuka-90 futhi yathola izindlela zokonga okungu-~89% walokho kusetshenziswa kwamandla okuvamile, mhlawumbe nge-capex ephansi, ukwakhiwa okusheshayo, kanye nokusebenza okungcono kanye nesikhathi sokusebenza. Ukonga kwenzeka emazingeni amaningi—ukwakhiwa kwesistimu, isofthiwe, ukuhlanganisa, amadivayisi, kanye nezinsiza.
Ukusebenza kahle kwamandla emhlabeni wonke kwaphindeka kabili kusukela ezikhathini ze-Neolithic kuya ku-1820, kwabe sekuphindeka kathathu futhi, kodwa manje kungaphindeka kabili ngezindlela ezivamile, futhi kungaphindeka kathathu ngokungeza "umklamo ohlanganisayo" - izindlela ezifakazelwe zokwenza ngcono izakhiwo, izimoto, kanye namafektri njengezinhlelo eziphelele. Okusho ukuthi, ukuhlanganiswa kokusebenza kahle kwamandla emhlabeni wonke manje sekungaphindwa cishe, kube yinzuzo enkulu kwezomnotho kanye nokuphepha. Amakhulu ezibonelo ezisebenzayo aphakamisa inani eliqinile lale ndlela ekuthuthukisweni nasekuqineni kweTaiwan.
Enkambisweni yokuguquka kwamandla, ngaphezu kokuthuthukisa ukusebenza kahle kwamandla ngokuklama okuhlanganisiwe, ukusetshenziswa kwamandla avuselelekayo nakho kubalulekile ekuqiniseni ukuphepha kwamandla. I-Bloomberg (New Energy Finance) ilinganisela ukuthi amandla avuselelekayo ngo-2023 ayeyindlela eshibhile yokwenza ingxenye kuya kwezintathu ugesi omkhulu womhlaba ukhonze izingxenye ezintathu kwezinhlanu ze-GDP yomhlaba wonke okuhlanganisa iYurophu, i-India, i-China, ne-Brazil. Nakuba ukukhathazeka okuvamile ngamandla avuselelekayo kungukuguquguquka kwawo, ukushintshashintsha akufani nokungathembeki. Ngobuchwepheshe bokubikezela, izinhlelo zokugcina amandla, kanye nokuphathwa kwempendulo yesidingo, igridi eqhutshwa ngokuyinhloko amandla avuselelekayo ingasebenza ngendlela ethembekile—futhi lokhu kuyikho kanye ugesi othembekile, ohlanzekile odingekayo esikhathini se-AI.
Isihluthulelo sokuguquka kwamandla sisekuklameni nasekusebenziseni izinhlelo zamandla ngobuhlakani. I-Delta izibophezele ekuthuthukiseni ukusebenza kahle kwamandla ngokuhlinzeka ngezixazululo zamandla nokuphathwa kokushisa kusuka kugridi kuya ku-chip nokusiza izikhungo zedatha ze-AI ukuthuthukisa ukusebenza kahle kwamandla. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngokusebenzisa ama-microgrid, i-Delta ihlanganisa amandla avuselelekayo, amaseli kaphethiloli we-hydrogen, kanye nokugcinwa kwamandla ukuze ithumele ngobuhlakani imithombo yamandla futhi iqinise ukuqina kwegridi. Ukuzibophezela kwethu ekuthuthukiseni ukusebenza kahle kwamandla kusekele ukukhula kwebhizinisi lethu, okubonisa ifilosofi kaDkt. Lovins yokuthi izinkampani zingafinyelela kokubili inzuzo kanye nokusimama. Selokhu zafinyelela ukukhishwa okukhulu kwekhabhoni ngo-2017, i-Delta iye yanciphisa kancane kancane ukukhishwa kwekhabhoni kusukela ngo-2018 ngenkathi imali engenayo iqhubeka nokukhula, okubonisa ukwahlukana okucacile kokukhula kwebhizinisi ekukhishweni kwekhabhoni. Siphinda isikhumbuzo sikaDkt. Lovins sokuthi “nithele futhi nisuse,” masiqhubekele phambili ndawonye ngokwamukela umqondo wokususa ukuze sifinyelele ukusimama okwabiwe futhi sakhe ikusasa elingcono.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Agasti-07-2026
